Race 3A

cedarfest

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cyrul 55.1% 27.3% 10.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Pribe 7.1% 9.2% 14.4% 16.4% 13.5% 15.9% 10.9% 8.1% 4.1% 0.4%
Rachel Rantanen 14.0% 23.3% 22.8% 16.5% 12.0% 6.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Joshua Spano 1.7% 2.9% 5.4% 6.4% 9.9% 10.5% 14.5% 18.4% 18.7% 11.6%
Nicholas Irwin 4.7% 9.0% 8.9% 11.6% 12.8% 15.7% 14.5% 11.9% 7.8% 3.1%
Samuel Ephraim 9.2% 14.6% 16.7% 15.5% 17.1% 11.6% 8.1% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3%
John Holbrook 4.1% 6.7% 9.5% 14.2% 14.1% 16.2% 14.9% 11.5% 6.9% 1.9%
Nick Nowicki 1.9% 3.8% 5.6% 7.5% 10.6% 9.9% 13.1% 18.0% 18.3% 11.3%
Emily Allen 1.5% 2.3% 3.9% 4.5% 5.4% 9.1% 13.0% 15.8% 24.4% 20.1%
Stephen King 0.7% 0.9% 2.1% 2.8% 2.8% 4.3% 7.4% 9.8% 17.9% 51.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.