Race 4A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cyrul 58.0% 22.8% 12.3% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Rantanen 14.5% 24.5% 19.7% 18.3% 12.5% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Brian Pribe 6.2% 10.0% 12.9% 14.5% 17.4% 15.9% 11.9% 6.3% 4.2% 0.7%
Samuel Ephraim 6.2% 15.6% 18.3% 16.5% 15.9% 11.8% 8.7% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Nick Nowicki 2.8% 4.8% 5.2% 7.4% 7.5% 10.3% 14.5% 19.5% 18.5% 9.5%
Joshua Spano 2.6% 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 7.7% 12.1% 13.2% 17.4% 19.1% 12.4%
Nicholas Irwin 3.7% 6.2% 11.0% 12.1% 14.9% 14.8% 16.4% 11.4% 6.6% 2.9%
John Holbrook 4.1% 7.8% 10.2% 13.6% 12.8% 15.5% 13.7% 13.6% 5.9% 2.8%
Emily Allen 1.3% 2.9% 3.4% 5.2% 6.0% 8.9% 11.3% 16.2% 25.9% 18.9%
Stephen King 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 4.4% 7.0% 9.0% 18.0% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.