Race 5A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brian Pribe 6.1% 11.3% 11.6% 15.5% 14.4% 14.1% 11.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.9%
Joshua Spano 2.3% 3.2% 4.9% 6.0% 6.5% 9.4% 12.3% 15.7% 18.8% 20.9%
Rachel Rantanen 13.3% 21.2% 20.8% 16.5% 14.7% 6.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Nick Nowicki 1.3% 3.4% 5.1% 6.6% 8.8% 9.6% 13.2% 16.7% 18.2% 17.1%
Christian Cyrul 56.9% 26.3% 10.5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mark Myers 3.8% 5.7% 7.7% 8.0% 10.0% 13.5% 14.2% 15.8% 12.9% 8.4%
Samuel Ephraim 6.7% 11.6% 17.2% 17.1% 14.8% 14.3% 8.8% 5.9% 2.6% 1.0%
Patrick Sawyer 1.8% 3.1% 5.6% 6.8% 8.9% 11.1% 11.7% 15.3% 18.6% 17.1%
Emily Allen 1.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 6.2% 6.6% 12.7% 12.0% 19.3% 32.4%
Nick Maude 6.2% 11.4% 13.8% 16.2% 13.8% 14.0% 11.8% 6.7% 4.9% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.