Race 6A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Christian Cyrul 55.6% 25.6% 10.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Nowicki 2.5% 3.8% 4.1% 5.2% 8.8% 9.2% 13.2% 15.4% 18.5% 19.3%
Mark Myers 2.8% 6.0% 6.0% 8.6% 10.2% 13.1% 16.1% 14.4% 13.7% 9.1%
Nick Maude 5.1% 11.3% 14.4% 16.3% 17.5% 13.5% 9.6% 6.7% 4.5% 1.1%
Rachel Rantanen 15.8% 20.3% 20.9% 17.7% 12.5% 7.1% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Joshua Spano 2.7% 3.0% 5.4% 5.8% 6.6% 9.9% 12.3% 15.7% 19.4% 19.2%
Patrick Sawyer 1.9% 2.6% 4.6% 7.2% 6.9% 11.0% 15.5% 17.4% 16.7% 16.2%
Brian Pribe 5.2% 11.2% 14.6% 13.4% 15.6% 13.9% 11.0% 8.2% 4.9% 2.0%
Samuel Ephraim 7.1% 14.1% 16.2% 15.8% 13.8% 14.7% 8.1% 7.0% 2.6% 0.6%
Emily Allen 1.3% 2.1% 3.3% 4.6% 6.0% 7.0% 10.8% 13.5% 19.0% 32.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.