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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+0.74vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-1.37+5.25vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+0.45vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.15+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.26-0.03vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.91+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.00-2.50vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-1.69-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.31-1.82vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-1.28-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of Notre Dame1.920.6%1st Place
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7.25Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.45Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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4.76Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.26Ohio State University-0.910.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Michigan0.000.1%1st Place
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7.76Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
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7.12Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 56.4% | 24.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 14.0% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 5.0% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Brian Pribe | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Mark Myers | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 8.5% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 7.3% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Emily Allen | 0.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 31.9% |
| Nick Nowicki | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.