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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+0.75vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-0.15+2.78vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+0.47vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.28+3.09vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.69+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.26-1.05vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.91-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.00-3.54vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.37-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.31-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75University of Notre Dame1.920.5%1st Place
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4.78Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.47Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.09Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.69Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.39Ohio State University-0.910.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Michigan0.000.1%1st Place
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7.27Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 54.4% | 27.7% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Maude | 7.7% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 14.5% | 19.5% | 22.5% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 17.3% |
| Emily Allen | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 31.0% |
| Brian Pribe | 7.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Mark Myers | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 6.4% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| Nick Nowicki | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.