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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+8.47vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+4.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine3.43+6.55vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.30+5.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.78+13.84vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.82+5.74vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon2.76+4.96vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.95-2.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.95vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+2.29vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.64+1.70vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.77-5.76vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University2.20+2.24vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California3.12-4.29vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.67-2.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles2.63-3.49vs Predicted
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19California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-1.45vs Predicted
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20Stanford University3.27-8.95vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University2.15-3.20vs Predicted
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22Fordham University2.50-6.63vs Predicted
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23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-7.13vs Predicted
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24Texas A&M University1.91-4.69vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley1.22-2.53vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands1.09-3.66vs Predicted
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28University of Notre Dame0.27-2.03vs Predicted
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29University of California at Davis-0.08-2.52vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.55University of California at Irvine3.430.0%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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19.84University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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13.74University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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7.62College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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14.7Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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8.24Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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17.24Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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14.89Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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14.51University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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17.55California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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11.05Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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17.8Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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15.37Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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15.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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19.31Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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22.47University of California at Berkeley1.220.0%1st Place
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23.34California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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25.97University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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26.48University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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23.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Megan Magill | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Craig Schifferns | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elliot Drake | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Foster | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Dahl | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Rollins | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 1.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Feik | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Felando | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 7.3% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 24.3% | 30.0% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 44.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.