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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.56+3.17vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.93+1.27vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.01+2.14vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.27+0.77vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.41-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54+0.86vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-0.45vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-3.76vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.43-0.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.02vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.27-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Queen's University0.5614.7%1st Place
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3.27Cornell University0.9323.9%1st Place
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5.14Hamilton College0.019.6%1st Place
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4.77Penn State University0.2711.5%1st Place
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4.63Penn State Behrend0.4111.2%1st Place
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6.86University of Rochester-0.544.7%1st Place
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6.55Rochester Institute of Technology-0.485.1%1st Place
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4.24Rochester Institute of Technology0.4914.0%1st Place
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8.35Syracuse University-1.432.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Military Academy-2.370.7%1st Place
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8.04Rochester Institute of Technology-1.272.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Hill | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 23.9% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Murphy | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Farrar | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Cole Bender | 14.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mary Morris | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 27.0% | 16.4% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 17.6% | 62.2% |
| Margaret Arocho | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 23.5% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.