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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+0.73vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.59+1.29vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.37+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.31+2.82vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.69+2.38vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.15-1.49vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.28-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.00-3.78vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.42-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-0.26-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73University of Notre Dame1.920.6%1st Place
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3.29Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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6.95Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
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7.38Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.51Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.77Michigan Technological University-1.280.0%1st Place
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4.22University of Michigan0.000.1%1st Place
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8.56Ohio State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 55.3% | 26.6% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 15.5% | 21.8% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 11.2% |
| Nick Nowicki | 1.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 10.8% |
| Emily Allen | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 18.6% |
| Nick Maude | 7.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Sawyer | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 8.7% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 7.6% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Stephen King | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 48.8% |
| Brian Pribe | 5.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.