Race 10A

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Cyrul 53.4% 27.2% 13.9% 4.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Rantanen 14.3% 22.1% 21.5% 16.7% 11.6% 8.3% 2.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Spano 2.1% 2.6% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 8.2% 13.9% 13.6% 15.5% 16.8% 9.9%
Nick Nowicki 1.9% 3.0% 4.2% 5.1% 7.8% 10.2% 13.4% 14.5% 16.1% 15.1% 8.7%
Samuel Ephraim 8.3% 12.6% 15.3% 15.9% 15.1% 13.3% 8.8% 6.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Nick Maude 6.1% 12.1% 12.1% 17.3% 16.5% 13.0% 9.9% 6.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.6%
Emily Allen 1.6% 4.0% 3.2% 3.9% 6.0% 8.6% 10.4% 13.3% 16.1% 18.0% 14.9%
Patrick Sawyer 2.9% 2.5% 5.6% 7.1% 8.6% 13.2% 12.2% 13.8% 14.8% 12.0% 7.3%
Stephen King 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 2.8% 2.4% 3.2% 6.1% 8.2% 8.6% 17.7% 47.5%
Christopher Dunn 1.7% 3.2% 4.2% 6.2% 7.4% 9.8% 10.6% 13.7% 17.5% 15.3% 10.4%
Brian Pribe 6.8% 9.3% 13.8% 15.1% 17.1% 11.8% 11.8% 8.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.