Race 1B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Steven Neveadomi 13.0% 11.9% 13.0% 11.7% 12.3% 12.7% 13.4% 7.5% 3.8% 0.7%
John Lowry 18.6% 17.7% 16.7% 14.2% 13.5% 9.3% 6.3% 2.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Timothy Dickey 19.4% 17.8% 17.1% 15.5% 13.1% 9.5% 4.9% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Anastasia Sikkila 2.4% 3.7% 3.1% 5.6% 6.5% 11.2% 11.9% 20.8% 25.6% 9.2%
Bay Hodge 13.2% 14.8% 13.7% 13.7% 15.1% 13.2% 8.8% 5.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Harland Nadeau 21.0% 17.8% 16.6% 15.7% 12.6% 7.0% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Steven Golm 3.7% 5.8% 7.5% 7.8% 10.8% 12.3% 16.9% 17.8% 13.5% 3.9%
Grace Hillman 5.4% 6.8% 8.1% 10.0% 9.8% 12.8% 17.9% 15.2% 11.8% 2.2%
Richard Gagnon 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 4.9% 5.2% 9.1% 10.7% 19.9% 28.6% 12.6%
Katie Sanford 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 2.9% 3.0% 6.5% 12.7% 70.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.