← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University-1.00+3.77vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.48+1.75vs Predicted
-
3University of Chicago-0.79+1.47vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-0.44-0.34vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University-0.39-1.48vs Predicted
-
6Ohio University-1.47-0.19vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-1.73-0.53vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-3.01+0.62vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-2.40-1.30vs Predicted
-
10Saint Mary's College-1.62-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.77Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
-
3.75University of Toledo-0.480.2%1st Place
-
4.47University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.66Purdue University-0.440.2%1st Place
-
3.52Michigan State University-0.390.2%1st Place
-
5.81Ohio University-1.470.1%1st Place
-
6.47Michigan Technological University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
8.62Western Michigan University-3.010.0%1st Place
-
7.7University of Michigan-2.400.0%1st Place
-
6.23Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Neveadomi | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| John Lowry | 17.0% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Bay Hodge | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Harland Nadeau | 18.9% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dickey | 19.3% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Atkins | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Steven Golm | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 8.4% |
| Julio Zuarth Gonzalez | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 51.9% |
| Richard Gagnon | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 26.2% | 24.3% |
| Grace Hillman | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.