Race 4B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Timothy Dickey 20.4% 18.1% 16.6% 13.1% 10.4% 9.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
John Lowry 17.1% 18.4% 15.4% 14.1% 12.1% 9.5% 7.8% 3.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Bay Hodge 12.7% 12.9% 11.7% 12.8% 14.4% 14.4% 10.1% 6.5% 3.7% 0.8%
Harland Nadeau 18.5% 17.7% 15.8% 15.8% 12.3% 8.3% 5.7% 4.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Steven Neveadomi 11.7% 8.8% 12.8% 13.0% 13.1% 13.2% 11.8% 9.0% 4.8% 1.8%
Grace Hillman 6.6% 6.2% 6.6% 7.4% 9.9% 11.7% 14.1% 15.0% 15.6% 6.9%
Andrew Atkins 4.6% 8.1% 9.3% 9.2% 10.3% 13.3% 15.4% 14.5% 10.9% 4.4%
Steven Golm 4.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.7% 9.9% 10.6% 12.3% 17.9% 16.5% 8.5%
Richard Gagnon 2.7% 2.0% 3.6% 5.1% 4.3% 6.0% 10.6% 15.5% 26.6% 23.6%
Julio Zuarth Gonzalez 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 2.8% 3.3% 3.6% 5.3% 9.8% 18.1% 53.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.