Race 5B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Steven Neveadomi 13.4% 11.3% 12.1% 13.7% 13.2% 15.3% 11.4% 6.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Harland Nadeau 20.1% 19.8% 15.2% 15.0% 12.3% 9.1% 5.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
John Lowry 18.1% 16.9% 16.2% 16.8% 13.6% 9.8% 5.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Bay Hodge 13.0% 14.4% 14.6% 15.7% 14.3% 12.5% 8.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Timothy Dickey 20.5% 20.4% 19.0% 13.2% 11.6% 7.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Richard Gagnon 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 4.3% 6.6% 9.1% 14.6% 22.1% 22.8% 10.2%
Steven Golm 3.9% 4.7% 8.7% 8.3% 11.9% 14.4% 17.5% 18.2% 10.6% 1.8%
Julio Zuarth Gonzalez 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.7% 4.0% 5.1% 8.9% 17.7% 32.4% 23.9%
Katie Sanford 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 4.0% 7.3% 20.0% 61.4%
Grace Hillman 5.6% 7.1% 7.2% 8.9% 11.1% 15.0% 18.1% 15.9% 9.2% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.