← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Toledo-0.48+2.49vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-1.07+2.74vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-1.00+1.61vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-0.44-0.60vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University-2.27+2.14vs Predicted
-
6Saint Mary's College-1.62-0.18vs Predicted
-
7Ohio University-2.67+1.05vs Predicted
-
8University of Chicago-0.79-3.91vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-2.40-1.52vs Predicted
-
10Michigan Technological University-1.73-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49University of Toledo-0.480.2%1st Place
-
4.74Michigan State University-1.070.1%1st Place
-
4.61Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
-
3.4Purdue University-0.440.2%1st Place
-
7.14Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
-
5.82Saint Mary's College-1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.05Ohio University-2.670.0%1st Place
-
4.09University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
-
7.48University of Michigan-2.400.0%1st Place
-
6.18Michigan Technological University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lowry | 21.6% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Martlock | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Harland Nadeau | 20.6% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 20.9% |
| Grace Hillman | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Madeline Henry | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 35.2% |
| Bay Hodge | 13.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Richard Gagnon | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 26.2% |
| Steven Golm | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.