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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.27+3.72vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.93+1.27vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.28vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.56+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.54+1.93vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+0.57vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend0.41-2.42vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.01-2.81vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.43-0.64vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.27-1.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.37-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Penn State University0.2711.2%1st Place
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3.27Cornell University0.9322.6%1st Place
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4.28Rochester Institute of Technology0.4913.9%1st Place
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4.02Queen's University0.5615.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Rochester-0.544.7%1st Place
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6.57Rochester Institute of Technology-0.485.5%1st Place
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4.58Penn State Behrend0.4112.6%1st Place
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5.19Hamilton College0.019.3%1st Place
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8.36Syracuse University-1.431.8%1st Place
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8.13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.272.5%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Military Academy-2.370.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Boris Bialer | 22.6% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 13.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julian Hill | 15.1% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 3.8% |
| Ashley Franklin | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Stewart | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Mary Morris | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 27.1% | 16.8% |
| Margaret Arocho | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 23.9% | 13.7% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.