← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+10.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.00vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine3.43+6.53vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+6.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles2.63+8.95vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.64+8.30vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.82+5.65vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.77-0.63vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.95-2.44vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.12+1.11vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+5.57vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50+2.48vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.91-6.37vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.30-4.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-0.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.22+5.51vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon2.76-4.24vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University1.91+0.27vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-5.93vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University2.15-3.24vs Predicted
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22Connecticut College2.67-7.66vs Predicted
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23Santa Clara University2.20-5.46vs Predicted
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24U. S. Naval Academy3.67-14.85vs Predicted
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25University of Notre Dame0.27+0.91vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego1.78-5.86vs Predicted
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28California State University Channel Islands1.09-4.91vs Predicted
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29University of California at Davis-0.08-2.53vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.53University of California at Irvine3.430.0%1st Place
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11.13Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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15.3Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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8.37Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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17.57California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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15.48Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.86Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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15.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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22.51University of California at Berkeley1.220.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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19.27Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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17.76Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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14.34Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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17.54Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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25.91University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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20.14University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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23.09California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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26.47University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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23.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Craig Schifferns | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Doyle | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Felando | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 5.3% |
| Elliot Drake | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Feik | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Matt Foster | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Max Rollins | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 22.0% | 31.5% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 11.2% | 21.2% | 41.9% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.