← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Purdue University-0.44+2.50vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.48+1.57vs Predicted
-
3University of Chicago-0.79+1.25vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-0.39-0.60vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University-3.01+3.25vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University-1.00-1.43vs Predicted
-
7Saint Mary's College-1.62-1.09vs Predicted
-
8Ohio University-2.80+0.03vs Predicted
-
9University of Michigan-2.40-1.59vs Predicted
-
10Michigan Technological University-1.73-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.5Purdue University-0.440.2%1st Place
-
3.57University of Toledo-0.480.2%1st Place
-
4.25University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.4Michigan State University-0.390.2%1st Place
-
8.25Western Michigan University-3.010.0%1st Place
-
4.57Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
-
5.91Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.03Ohio University-2.800.0%1st Place
-
7.41University of Michigan-2.400.0%1st Place
-
6.12Michigan Technological University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harland Nadeau | 20.2% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| John Lowry | 17.9% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bay Hodge | 14.4% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Dickey | 19.8% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julio Zuarth Gonzalez | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 24.1% | 38.6% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Grace Hillman | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Jamie Christie | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 32.7% |
| Richard Gagnon | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 22.0% | 18.5% |
| Steven Golm | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.