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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.39+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.48+1.61vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.44+0.69vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.00+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.79-0.73vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-3.01+2.87vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-1.62-1.12vs Predicted
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8John Carroll University-3.16+1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.40-1.21vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-1.73-3.82vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-2.80-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Michigan State University-0.390.2%1st Place
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3.61University of Toledo-0.480.2%1st Place
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3.69Purdue University-0.440.2%1st Place
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4.81Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Chicago-0.790.1%1st Place
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8.87Western Michigan University-3.010.0%1st Place
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5.88Saint Mary's College-1.620.1%1st Place
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9.02John Carroll University-3.160.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Michigan-2.400.0%1st Place
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6.18Michigan Technological University-1.730.1%1st Place
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8.37Ohio University-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Dickey | 17.8% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 18.3% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harland Nadeau | 17.8% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Bay Hodge | 14.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Julio Zuarth Gonzalez | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 22.8% | 29.4% |
| Grace Hillman | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Davis Crawford | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 34.0% |
| Richard Gagnon | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 12.5% |
| Steven Golm | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Jamie Christie | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 21.7% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.