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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+1.27vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.26+0.28vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.52+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.63vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Bates College1.280.3%1st Place
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2.28Middlebury College1.260.3%1st Place
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3.11McGill University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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3.98Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 34.4% | 28.0% | 19.5% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Alexander Baskin | 32.6% | 28.1% | 22.6% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 14.9% | 18.4% | 23.5% | 26.8% | 16.4% |
| Timothy Burns | 11.4% | 15.8% | 22.3% | 25.7% | 24.8% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 22.4% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.