← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College1.28+1.28vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+1.37vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College1.26-0.72vs Predicted
-
4McGill University0.52-0.88vs Predicted
-
5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28Bates College1.280.3%1st Place
-
3.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
-
2.28Middlebury College1.260.3%1st Place
-
3.12McGill University0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.95Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 34.0% | 27.8% | 20.0% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Timothy Burns | 10.8% | 16.1% | 22.0% | 27.4% | 23.7% |
| Alexander Baskin | 34.8% | 25.3% | 21.9% | 13.5% | 4.5% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 13.7% | 20.7% | 22.6% | 25.5% | 17.5% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.