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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.26+1.30vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.28+0.24vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.52+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.63vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Middlebury College1.260.3%1st Place
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2.24Bates College1.280.3%1st Place
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3.11McGill University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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3.97Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Baskin | 33.3% | 28.1% | 19.5% | 13.3% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 33.8% | 27.5% | 23.1% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 15.0% | 18.5% | 23.3% | 26.6% | 16.6% |
| Timothy Burns | 11.1% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 25.8% | 24.8% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 22.3% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.