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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+0.90vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.52+0.68vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.68+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.09vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
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2.68McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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3.99Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.2%1st Place
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3.52Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 47.1% | 27.5% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 19.8% | 27.5% | 25.6% | 18.7% | 8.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 6.6% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 50.4% |
| Timothy Burns | 16.5% | 22.3% | 26.8% | 22.6% | 11.8% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 10.0% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 31.8% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.