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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.93vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.52-0.34vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.680.00vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
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2.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.2%1st Place
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2.66McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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4.0Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.52Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 48.6% | 26.0% | 15.8% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Timothy Burns | 15.6% | 22.5% | 26.5% | 24.1% | 11.3% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 20.8% | 28.0% | 24.0% | 19.2% | 8.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 5.4% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 21.3% | 49.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 9.6% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 28.4% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.