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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.52+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+0.92vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.28-1.11vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.50vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.68-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.2%1st Place
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1.89Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
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3.5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.01Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adele DesBrisay | 21.7% | 26.4% | 24.0% | 18.5% | 9.4% |
| Timothy Burns | 16.8% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 23.6% | 11.8% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 46.8% | 27.3% | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 9.3% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 29.3% | 27.1% |
| Alexie Lessing | 5.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.