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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.68+2.99vs Predicted
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2Bates College1.28-0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.10vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.52-1.32vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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1.89Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
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2.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.2%1st Place
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2.68McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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3.55Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexie Lessing | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 49.5% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 46.2% | 28.2% | 17.4% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 17.3% | 21.2% | 27.9% | 21.3% | 12.3% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 21.0% | 27.4% | 22.6% | 20.8% | 8.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 9.2% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 29.3% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.