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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.24vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+2.23vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.41+1.53vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+2.53vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.56-0.88vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.01-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.54-0.05vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.43+0.46vs Predicted
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9Penn State University0.27-4.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.37-0.06vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.27-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Cornell University0.9322.9%1st Place
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4.23Rochester Institute of Technology0.4914.9%1st Place
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4.53Penn State Behrend0.4111.2%1st Place
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6.53Rochester Institute of Technology-0.484.9%1st Place
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4.12Queen's University0.5614.6%1st Place
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5.24Hamilton College0.018.3%1st Place
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6.95University of Rochester-0.544.5%1st Place
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8.46Syracuse University-1.431.6%1st Place
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4.65Penn State University0.2713.8%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Military Academy-2.370.9%1st Place
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8.1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.272.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 22.9% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 2.6% |
| Julian Hill | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 4.2% |
| Mary Morris | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 28.4% | 17.3% |
| Joseph Murphy | 13.8% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 61.1% |
| Margaret Arocho | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 23.8% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.