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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.49vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+5.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+7.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+3.94vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.27+6.00vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon2.76+7.97vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+4.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.72vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.67+5.36vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.11vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.12+1.12vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.77-3.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles2.63+1.52vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.64+0.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+0.52vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-5.54vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.34vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University2.15-0.86vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-4.96vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University2.20-2.79vs Predicted
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21Fordham University2.50-5.47vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley1.22-0.14vs Predicted
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23University of Notre Dame0.81+0.96vs Predicted
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24University of Hawaii2.82-10.23vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego1.78-5.45vs Predicted
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26Texas A&M University0.35-0.34vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-0.08-1.33vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands1.09-6.48vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Irvine3.430.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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11.0Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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11.26Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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14.36Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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14.35Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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15.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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17.34California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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17.14Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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17.21Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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15.53Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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21.86University of California at Berkeley1.220.0%1st Place
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23.96University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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19.55University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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25.66Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
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26.67University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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22.52California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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22.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Rollins | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Schwarm | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Matt Foster | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Felando | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 9.6% |
| Craig Schifferns | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 26.4% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 45.1% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.