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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.28+0.89vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.52+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.10vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.68+0.01vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Bates College1.280.5%1st Place
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2.66McGill University0.520.2%1st Place
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2.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.2%1st Place
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4.01Middlebury College-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.53Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Whitcraft | 48.0% | 26.6% | 16.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 20.4% | 27.7% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 7.2% |
| Timothy Burns | 17.3% | 21.8% | 25.5% | 24.0% | 11.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 5.0% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 21.6% | 49.3% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 9.3% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 27.5% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.