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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.93vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+3.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.83+4.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.70vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.09+1.98vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+1.33vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81-2.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.04-4.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.35+0.15vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.68-1.78vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.14-1.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.89-7.69vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.73-1.81vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.27-0.73vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.14-1.83vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.67-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.98Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.93Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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9.22University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.31Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.19McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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14.27Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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14.17Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.35Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 11.9% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Brett Putnam | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Lera Anders | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 33.6% | 13.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 24.8% | 27.9% | 11.8% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 14.5% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.