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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.83+6.56vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+3.88vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+1.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.09+2.66vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14+5.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.35+3.23vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-3.28vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49-2.35vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.68-0.88vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.85vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-6.74vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-4.62vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.73-1.83vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-0.99vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.27-1.59vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.67-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.51Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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4.72Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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5.26Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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12.17McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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14.01Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.41Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.34Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lera Anders | 2.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 16.1% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Putnam | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 11.9% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 30.4% | 11.4% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 23.2% | 30.9% | 14.1% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 15.3% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.