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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+5.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+4.03vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+5.22vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.09+3.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+0.16vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.83+2.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36-0.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-3.23vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.35+1.37vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-4.60vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.68-1.75vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.14-1.20vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.73-0.89vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.14+0.15vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.27-0.70vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.67+0.30vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-10.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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7.92Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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4.77Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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5.4Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.11McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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14.15Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.3Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.3Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Putnam | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 21.0% | 31.2% | 11.5% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 32.9% | 13.6% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 15.0% | 72.1% |
| Dana Haig | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.