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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+4.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+2.96vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+0.32vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.09+1.94vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.89-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.35+2.05vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.68+0.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.14+0.83vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-2.60vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.83-3.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-6.90vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.73-1.79vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-0.97vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.27-1.59vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.67-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.79Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.94Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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5.21Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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9.33University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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12.21McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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14.03Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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14.41Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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16.36Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lera Anders | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| William Bedford | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 20.4% | 30.7% | 11.4% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 23.3% | 31.3% | 14.2% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 15.6% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.