← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.61+4.97vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.04+2.72vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.81+2.52vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.49+2.56vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.89+0.16vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.36+1.06vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.95+1.29vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.09-0.33vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.14+2.01vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.05vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University1.83-2.25vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.35-1.84vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.68-3.71vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-0.14+0.13vs Predicted
-
15McGill University0.73-2.97vs Predicted
-
16Bates College-1.67+0.29vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University-0.27-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.97Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
4.72Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
5.52Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.56Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.16Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
7.06University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.29Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
-
7.67Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
-
11.01Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
-
5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.75Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.16University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
-
14.13Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
-
12.03McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
-
16.29Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
-
14.45Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Brett Putnam | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 32.6% | 10.7% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 10.7% | 2.3% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 71.8% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 23.0% | 31.7% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.