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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+2.74vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+3.48vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+1.61vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.80vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+2.40vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.83+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.35+2.01vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.68+0.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.89-4.81vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.09-3.05vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-6.02vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.14-2.04vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.73-1.81vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-0.94vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.67+0.31vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University-0.27-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.74Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.61Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.4Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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9.32University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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5.19Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.95Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.19McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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14.06Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.31Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.43Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 21.7% | 30.7% | 11.3% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 72.8% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 32.4% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.