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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+5.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+3.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+2.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+1.61vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+0.08vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.83+1.49vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.09-0.56vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95-0.81vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.14+3.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-6.13vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.27+2.19vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.14-2.32vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.35-3.87vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.73-3.24vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.52-3.57vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.67-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.21Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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5.11Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.44Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.19Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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13.93Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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4.87Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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14.19Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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11.76McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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12.43University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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16.29Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.9% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 11.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 22.8% | 26.3% | 9.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 31.8% | 12.7% |
| Lera Anders | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 13.0% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.