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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+5.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.81+3.27vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+2.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+1.38vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.95+2.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.83+2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36-0.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.89-2.92vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.04-4.14vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.27+4.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.35-0.93vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.09-4.45vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.73-1.14vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.14-3.23vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-1.16vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.52-3.55vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.67-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.93Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.08Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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4.86Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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14.21Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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7.55Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.86McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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10.77Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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13.84Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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12.45University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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16.27Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 11.7% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 31.5% | 11.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Lera Anders | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 27.5% | 10.3% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.