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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+7.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+7.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+8.03vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.30+7.16vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.95+2.53vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91+1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon2.76+7.34vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.82+5.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+4.73vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.22+10.23vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.77-4.69vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.27-3.26vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University2.15+2.37vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.67-1.87vs Predicted
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17California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.38vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles2.63-3.65vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California3.12-6.80vs Predicted
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20Fordham University2.50-4.49vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University2.20-3.83vs Predicted
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22Roger Williams University2.64-7.67vs Predicted
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23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-7.25vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego1.78-4.33vs Predicted
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25Texas A&M University0.35+0.43vs Predicted
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26University of Notre Dame0.81-1.84vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-0.08-1.39vs Predicted
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29California State University Channel Islands1.09-6.49vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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11.16Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.53College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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14.34University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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13.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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22.23University of California at Berkeley1.220.0%1st Place
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8.31Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.74Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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17.37Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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14.13Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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17.38California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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15.51Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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17.17Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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14.33Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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15.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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19.67University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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25.43Texas A&M University0.350.0%1st Place
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24.16University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
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26.61University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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22.51California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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22.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Craig Schifferns | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Foster | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Felando | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
| Michael Campbell | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Max Rollins | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Doyle | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Eric Schwarm | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Conner Fullerton | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 24.4% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 12.1% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 42.9% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.