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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.32vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+2.27vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.41+1.59vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.54+1.88vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.56-1.93vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.01-1.80vs Predicted
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8Penn State University0.27-3.19vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.43-0.58vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.27-1.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.37-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Cornell University0.9322.4%1st Place
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4.27Rochester Institute of Technology0.4914.3%1st Place
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4.59Penn State Behrend0.4112.6%1st Place
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6.54Rochester Institute of Technology-0.484.9%1st Place
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6.88University of Rochester-0.544.3%1st Place
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4.07Queen's University0.5615.1%1st Place
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5.2Hamilton College0.0110.4%1st Place
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4.81Penn State University0.2710.6%1st Place
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8.42Syracuse University-1.432.2%1st Place
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8.03Rochester Institute of Technology-1.272.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Military Academy-2.371.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 22.4% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Franklin | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 4.5% |
| Julian Hill | 15.1% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Murphy | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Morris | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 27.2% | 18.4% |
| Margaret Arocho | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 20.3% | 25.2% | 11.7% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.