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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+4.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+2.75vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.83+5.73vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.95+4.29vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+1.35vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.68+2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-1.21vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-3.53vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.27+4.39vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.09-3.03vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.35-1.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-6.83vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.14-3.01vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.73-2.92vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.14-1.80vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.67-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.75Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.29Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.6Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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14.39Northeastern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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7.97Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.08McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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14.2Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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16.35Bates College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 13.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Putnam | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Maguire | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 33.5% | 13.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Dana Haig | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 22.1% | 31.0% | 10.9% |
| Dylan DiSunno | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 6.4% | 13.6% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.