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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.74vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.36+4.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+3.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+0.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+1.20vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+2.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80-1.65vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.28+1.99vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.67-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.66-1.00vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-3.65vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.50-5.74vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.28-0.31vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-5.12vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.74-0.46vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.78-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.73Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.82Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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9.0University of South Florida1.660.0%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.26Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.69Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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14.54University of Vermont-0.740.0%1st Place
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14.63McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Allison Weinbecker | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 26.1% | 23.9% | 8.6% |
| Alex Abate | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Soucy | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 10.0% | 31.0% | 44.1% |
| Theodore Janson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 29.2% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.