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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+7.82vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+3.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+2.91vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.67+5.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01-0.27vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+2.35vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.13+0.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36-1.45vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.28+3.62vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.66-0.99vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.28-1.03vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-5.68vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-6.13vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.50-7.92vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.74-0.47vs Predicted
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16McGill University-0.78-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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4.73Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.62Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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9.01University of South Florida1.660.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.53University of Vermont-0.740.0%1st Place
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14.62McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 27.1% | 22.6% | 9.2% |
| Allison Weinbecker | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Soucy | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 31.0% | 43.9% |
| Theodore Janson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 28.6% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.