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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.76vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+6.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+1.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+2.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.28+1.93vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+2.37vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50-0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80-2.86vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.78+5.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.67-1.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.28-0.97vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.36-5.35vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.74+1.54vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.13-6.74vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.28-2.24vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.66-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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4.62Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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6.36Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.93Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.37Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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14.5McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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8.95Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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14.54University of Vermont-0.740.0%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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12.76Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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9.02University of South Florida1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Abate | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 16.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Tucker Weed | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Janson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 11.1% | 28.8% | 44.7% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Soucy | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 12.2% | 29.2% | 42.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 25.5% | 24.8% | 10.1% |
| Allison Weinbecker | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.