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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+4.78vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+4.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+2.20vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.85+4.45vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.66+3.92vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01-1.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50-0.72vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.13-0.79vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.28-2.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.28+0.15vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-4.38vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.67-3.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-4.10vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.74+0.52vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.78-0.41vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.28-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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8.92University of South Florida1.660.0%1st Place
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4.73Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.89Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Vermont-0.740.0%1st Place
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14.59McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.79Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 14.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Allison Weinbecker | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alex Abate | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Soucy | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 31.4% | 41.8% |
| Theodore Janson | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 9.5% | 30.0% | 46.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 26.6% | 22.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.