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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+7.37vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.13+8.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16+3.83vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+0.35vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.67+3.45vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.66+1.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.85-0.32vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.13-2.21vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.28-0.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-4.40vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-6.17vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.28-0.53vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.78+0.44vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.80-10.14vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.74-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University1.130.0%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.35Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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8.45Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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6.46Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.59University of South Florida1.660.1%1st Place
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7.68Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.6Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.83Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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12.47Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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14.44McGill University-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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14.45University of Vermont-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Julia Zaleski | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 16.3% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allison Weinbecker | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Jed Bell | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 23.0% | 21.0% | 10.3% |
| Theodore Janson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 28.3% | 43.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 15.4% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Soucy | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 29.4% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.