Race 6B

nickerson-2018

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Tyler Mowry 9.5% 13.2% 10.6% 10.0% 9.4% 8.3% 9.2% 7.6% 5.1% 6.9% 4.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Allison Weinbecker 3.9% 6.2% 5.9% 4.8% 5.5% 6.5% 7.7% 6.9% 6.9% 9.8% 8.3% 9.9% 9.3% 5.7% 2.5% 0.2%
Christophe Chaumont 4.8% 4.0% 4.4% 6.2% 6.7% 6.4% 7.4% 6.8% 9.9% 7.4% 11.1% 9.5% 7.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.2%
Harris Padegs 4.8% 6.3% 5.0% 7.0% 6.6% 6.4% 8.0% 8.5% 7.6% 9.4% 6.8% 9.0% 8.8% 4.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Jack DeNatale 17.0% 14.9% 15.2% 12.2% 9.7% 10.2% 5.8% 5.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Hansen 6.3% 6.8% 8.5% 8.9% 7.5% 8.4% 9.7% 9.0% 8.3% 6.1% 6.2% 6.8% 3.5% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Alexandra Talbot 3.8% 3.0% 2.6% 4.6% 5.6% 4.4% 4.8% 5.8% 5.2% 8.4% 9.2% 11.4% 12.8% 12.8% 4.8% 0.8%
Ryutaro Sochi 8.1% 7.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.6% 9.0% 9.1% 6.5% 9.4% 7.5% 7.2% 4.5% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Julia Zaleski 3.3% 2.5% 2.8% 3.7% 3.5% 4.5% 4.6% 5.9% 5.8% 7.3% 9.8% 12.7% 13.6% 12.8% 5.8% 1.4%
Alex Abate 4.7% 4.8% 4.2% 4.9% 4.9% 6.1% 5.8% 8.8% 8.2% 10.9% 11.2% 8.9% 7.5% 7.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Jed Bell 10.1% 6.8% 8.2% 8.4% 8.6% 7.7% 8.5% 8.7% 9.9% 7.0% 5.5% 4.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Aidan naughton 14.0% 13.1% 13.1% 9.7% 11.7% 9.4% 7.2% 7.7% 5.4% 2.6% 3.1% 1.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Blaire McCarthy 8.1% 8.0% 10.1% 8.2% 8.5% 10.3% 9.3% 7.7% 8.0% 7.2% 5.6% 4.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Valentino 1.3% 0.7% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 3.5% 3.6% 4.1% 5.5% 7.3% 13.7% 21.6% 21.4% 9.0%
Theodore Janson 0.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 4.2% 10.0% 28.8% 45.4%
Ryan Soucy 0.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.0% 4.6% 11.8% 28.6% 42.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.