Race 8B

nickerson-2018

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Tyler Mowry 9.4% 11.6% 9.9% 11.2% 10.4% 9.1% 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 5.3% 3.5% 2.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryutaro Sochi 7.5% 8.4% 7.0% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 7.9% 8.1% 7.9% 6.8% 7.3% 7.3% 3.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Christophe Chaumont 4.9% 4.1% 5.0% 5.5% 5.8% 7.3% 6.4% 7.1% 7.5% 10.0% 9.8% 10.5% 8.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Eric Hansen 6.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 9.9% 9.8% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.3% 4.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Harris Padegs 4.4% 6.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8% 8.4% 8.1% 8.9% 8.2% 8.8% 8.6% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Jack DeNatale 16.1% 16.0% 14.6% 11.7% 11.5% 9.0% 5.7% 4.7% 4.3% 2.4% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jed Bell 8.8% 7.6% 6.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.7% 8.4% 6.7% 9.8% 9.0% 5.1% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Aidan naughton 14.9% 14.0% 13.2% 10.5% 11.1% 8.0% 8.9% 6.5% 4.1% 3.8% 2.4% 0.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Allison Weinbecker 5.0% 4.2% 6.2% 4.1% 6.3% 6.6% 7.4% 7.7% 8.1% 10.3% 8.3% 9.1% 8.0% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Alexandra Talbot 3.4% 2.7% 3.9% 3.9% 2.6% 5.3% 5.2% 6.3% 5.7% 7.4% 10.8% 12.4% 13.3% 12.2% 3.8% 1.1%
Lulu Russell 6.0% 5.7% 4.5% 6.5% 5.2% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 9.6% 8.1% 9.0% 5.4% 1.7% 0.0%
Blaire McCarthy 9.0% 8.0% 8.7% 10.2% 7.5% 8.6% 7.6% 8.9% 7.9% 7.2% 6.8% 4.0% 2.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack Valentino 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 0.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 3.7% 5.4% 6.7% 11.5% 23.7% 22.6% 8.4%
Julia Zaleski 2.9% 1.8% 3.8% 2.9% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 9.9% 10.5% 13.4% 13.4% 6.7% 1.3%
Theodore Janson 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 2.2% 5.3% 10.2% 27.8% 45.9%
Ryan Soucy 0.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 1.8% 3.0% 5.1% 10.5% 30.1% 42.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.