Race 5A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Boris Bialer 23.1% 19.6% 17.1% 13.5% 10.0% 7.5% 5.7% 2.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Ashley Franklin 5.3% 5.2% 7.6% 6.9% 8.6% 9.7% 12.0% 15.6% 14.2% 12.4% 2.4%
Cole Bender 15.3% 13.6% 13.2% 13.6% 12.3% 11.2% 9.6% 7.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Michael Stewart 9.6% 9.3% 10.0% 10.7% 12.3% 12.2% 12.7% 10.3% 8.6% 3.4% 0.9%
Joseph Murphy 10.8% 12.1% 13.0% 12.3% 12.0% 12.5% 10.8% 9.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Anthony Farrar 12.2% 13.1% 11.4% 12.7% 13.2% 13.2% 10.6% 6.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Abby Eckert 4.3% 4.9% 5.4% 6.0% 7.5% 7.8% 10.4% 14.1% 18.6% 15.7% 5.3%
Julian Hill 14.4% 15.7% 13.7% 13.6% 12.4% 11.3% 8.5% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Mary Morris 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 4.5% 6.2% 9.8% 16.2% 30.0% 19.9%
Gabriel Kunze 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 3.5% 6.8% 15.5% 64.5%
Matthew Lefler 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 6.0% 6.1% 8.2% 11.1% 15.0% 18.2% 17.4% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.