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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.20vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.77+6.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.30+8.36vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.95+3.86vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.91+2.79vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+5.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+7.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine3.43+2.15vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-0.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.60+10.42vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.82+3.00vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University2.15+5.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles2.63+1.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.37vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California3.12-3.10vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon2.76-2.23vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University2.20+0.62vs Predicted
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18California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-1.18vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University1.91+0.26vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University2.64-5.20vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands1.09+1.88vs Predicted
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22Connecticut College2.67-7.72vs Predicted
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23U. S. Naval Academy3.67-13.97vs Predicted
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24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-8.01vs Predicted
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25Fordham University2.50-9.28vs Predicted
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26University of Notre Dame0.27+0.02vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis-0.08-1.27vs Predicted
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29University of California at Berkeley1.22-6.87vs Predicted
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30Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.36Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.86College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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11.16Stanford University3.270.0%1st Place
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14.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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20.42University of California at San Diego1.600.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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17.88Western Washington University2.150.0%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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17.62Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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16.82California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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19.26Texas A&M University1.910.0%1st Place
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14.8Roger Williams University2.640.0%1st Place
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22.88California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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14.28Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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15.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.0%1st Place
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15.72Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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26.02University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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26.73University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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22.13University of California at Berkeley1.220.0%1st Place
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23.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Foster | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Magill | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Craig Schifferns | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Scott Doyle | 1.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Feik | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Eric Schwarm | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 6.9% |
| Max Rollins | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 31.1% |
| Karisa Chapa | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 45.5% |
| Elizabeth Felando | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 4.6% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.