← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University0.28+1.28vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech-1.79+2.78vs Predicted
-
3University of Pittsburgh-0.62+0.24vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary1.06-2.33vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-2.21+0.35vs Predicted
-
7Penn State University-3.19-0.49vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute-1.84-3.11vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy-3.97-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28Syracuse University0.280.3%1st Place
-
4.78Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
-
3.24University of Pittsburgh-0.620.1%1st Place
-
1.67William and Mary1.060.5%1st Place
-
5.35Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
-
6.51Penn State University-3.190.0%1st Place
-
4.89Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
-
7.3U. S. Military Academy-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 26.3% | 37.3% | 23.2% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 3.6% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 22.2% | 23.6% | 21.9% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Bryce Merrill | 10.6% | 17.9% | 30.3% | 24.6% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 53.3% | 30.6% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 1.9% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 20.7% | 27.8% | 19.4% | 5.0% |
| Victoria Castano | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 36.0% | 26.4% |
| Rudy Caligure | 3.5% | 3.9% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 25.0% | 22.3% | 12.8% | 2.7% |
| Anton Fuchslechner | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 20.3% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.