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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.62+2.27vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.28+0.34vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.21+1.29vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.79-0.21vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-3.19+0.54vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.06-5.38vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-1.84-3.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.97-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of Pittsburgh-0.620.1%1st Place
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2.34Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
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5.29Penn State University-2.210.0%1st Place
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4.79Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.54Penn State University-3.190.0%1st Place
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1.62William and Mary1.060.6%1st Place
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4.88Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Military Academy-3.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Merrill | 9.6% | 19.2% | 29.7% | 24.2% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Trentham | 24.5% | 36.7% | 23.4% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Yoskowitz | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 26.5% | 18.8% | 5.0% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 2.5% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 20.2% | 24.8% | 22.1% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
| Victoria Castano | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 37.9% | 26.9% |
| Miguel Monllor | 56.8% | 27.9% | 12.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Caligure | 3.1% | 4.4% | 11.3% | 19.2% | 23.6% | 24.1% | 11.2% | 3.1% |
| Anton Fuchslechner | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 20.4% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.