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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.45+1.24vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-2.21+1.55vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.00-1.08vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.73-2.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.96-0.39vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-2.02-2.63vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-3.16-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Pittsburgh-0.450.4%1st Place
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4.55Virginia Tech-2.210.1%1st Place
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2.92Syracuse University-1.000.2%1st Place
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2.58William and Mary-0.730.3%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.37Webb Institute-2.020.1%1st Place
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5.72Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Wells | 36.7% | 28.1% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Britt Osborne | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 25.0% | 20.8% | 10.9% |
| Tiago Da Costa | 18.8% | 23.7% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Parker Bunting | 26.4% | 25.9% | 22.2% | 16.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Simone Woolley | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 28.7% | 35.8% |
| Nathan Johnson | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 20.5% | 24.0% | 18.6% | 8.9% |
| Jessica Traub | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 25.2% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.