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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.45+1.23vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.00-0.14vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-2.21+0.62vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-2.02-0.63vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.73-3.37vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.42vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-3.16-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Pittsburgh-0.450.4%1st Place
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2.86Syracuse University-1.000.2%1st Place
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4.62Virginia Tech-2.210.1%1st Place
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4.37Webb Institute-2.020.1%1st Place
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2.63William and Mary-0.730.2%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
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5.72Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Wells | 37.7% | 26.1% | 19.5% | 11.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Tiago Da Costa | 21.1% | 23.0% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Britt Osborne | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 24.6% | 21.9% | 12.0% |
| Nathan Johnson | 6.3% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 23.3% | 19.2% | 8.3% |
| Parker Bunting | 24.6% | 27.2% | 22.7% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Simone Woolley | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 17.3% | 28.3% | 34.4% |
| Jessica Traub | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 14.9% | 23.9% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.