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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.12+2.82vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.72+0.96vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.51+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.95-1.34vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.71-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.68+0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.16-3.63vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.62-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University0.720.2%1st Place
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3.25Oregon State University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.66University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
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5.22Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Twilla | 12.8% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Axel Greening | 22.9% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hope | 19.3% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Hughes | 28.2% | 23.9% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tor Gammelin | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 28.2% | 20.9% | 5.5% |
| Emily Burns | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 15.4% | 70.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 20.6% | 9.5% | 1.9% |
| Duncan Jackson | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 42.6% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.