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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.51+2.22vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.72+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.95-0.37vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.12-0.08vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.71+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.62-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.68-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Oregon State University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.98Western Washington University0.720.2%1st Place
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2.63University of Washington0.950.3%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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5.17Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Oregon-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hope | 18.3% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Axel Greening | 22.2% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 29.9% | 23.4% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 12.0% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Tor Gammelin | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 28.0% | 20.8% | 4.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 9.6% | 1.7% |
| Duncan Jackson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 39.6% | 24.6% |
| Emily Burns | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 18.8% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.